Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.031815 0.034908 0.038050 0.041473 0.045092 0.048797 0.052871
2025-08-24 0.026359 0.030816 0.035523 0.040838 0.046648 0.052782 0.059723
2025-08-31 0.023405 0.028933 0.034969 0.041992 0.049877 0.058403 0.068263
2025-09-07 0.020900 0.027213 0.034323 0.042812 0.052569 0.063332 0.076005
2025-09-14 0.018706 0.025589 0.033565 0.043320 0.054764 0.067609 0.082965
2025-09-21 0.016701 0.023975 0.032638 0.043472 0.056422 0.071186 0.089076
2025-09-28 0.015554 0.023283 0.032709 0.044718 0.059295 0.076125 0.096735
2025-10-05 0.013705 0.021535 0.031344 0.044103 0.059852 0.078284 0.101113
2025-10-12 0.012391 0.020365 0.030601 0.044164 0.061154 0.081269 0.106427
2025-10-19 0.011452 0.019614 0.030325 0.044751 0.063055 0.084943 0.112543
2025-10-26 0.010748 0.019125 0.030341 0.045671 0.065342 0.089073 0.119209
2025-11-02 0.009172 0.017263 0.028420 0.043989 0.064283 0.089062 0.120836
2025-11-09 0.008142 0.016138 0.027460 0.043549 0.064810 0.091036 0.124943
2025-11-16 0.007207 0.015074 0.026520 0.043086 0.065271 0.092913 0.128932
2025-11-23 0.006880 0.014938 0.026880 0.044377 0.068018 0.097667 0.136499
2025-11-30 0.006469 0.014629 0.026965 0.045276 0.070246 0.101774 0.143286
2025-12-07 0.006000 0.014182 0.026816 0.045827 0.072002 0.105282 0.149338
2025-12-14 0.005476 0.013592 0.026416 0.045996 0.073230 0.108109 0.154541
2025-12-21 0.005265 0.013533 0.026814 0.047295 0.075981 0.112904 0.162242
2025-12-28 0.004635 0.012653 0.025894 0.046660 0.076080 0.114255 0.165582
2026-01-04 0.004211 0.012114 0.025474 0.046725 0.077117 0.116813 0.170452
2026-01-11 0.003932 0.011825 0.025435 0.047335 0.078895 0.120339 0.176564
2026-01-18 0.003738 0.011688 0.025632 0.048289 0.081154 0.124504 0.183511